MTS — stock vs MIN/MAX MTS 库存对照 MIN/MAX
Columns compare weekly demand and output; the line is week-end stock against the MIN–MAX corridor (solid band = defined in the MPS, dashed = last value extended). Each item shows two plans — A: strict MIN/MAX execution (halt when above MAX, fill to MAX at best, whole-day scheduling, 6-day peak weeks — 500L 400/day, M/S 1,100/day — CNY idle): the red GAP marks demand we cannot serve; B: current pre-build rhythm — our proposal. The strip below each chart shows production days per week. Daily rates 日产能: 500L 300/day standard, 400/day at full stretch when closing the gap; the shared M/S line 800/day off-season, 1,100/day at the peak. 柱状图对比周需求与周产出；折线为周末库存对照 MIN–MAX 区间（实线段=MPS 已定义，虚线段=末值延伸）。每款两个方案——A：严格按 MIN/MAX 执行（超 MAX 停产、最多备到 MAX、整天排产、旺季 6 天——500L 400 套/天、M/S 1,100 套/天——春节放空）：红色 GAP 即无法满足的需求；B：当前节奏备库存（我方提案）。图下条带为每周生产天数。日产能：500L 常规 300 套/天、追缺口时拉满 400 套/天；M/S 共线淡季 800 套/天、旺季 1,100 套/天。Bottom line: strict execution (PLAN A) loses ~66,000 pcs of 2027 sales by W20 — 12,480 on 500L (deepest 27W07) + 53,544 on the shared M/S line (deepest 27W14, after the W13 spike). 合计：严格执行到 27W20 将损失约 66,000 件销售（500L 最深 27W07，M/S 共线最深 27W14——W13 尖峰之后）。
Full-year demand check — MTS MTS 全年需求合理性对照（2026 累计 vs 2025 实际）
Is the 2026 plan conservative or aggressive? Each bar is the cumulative 2026 W1–W52 demand, split into firm demand and forecast; the red tick marks the 2025 full-year actual. 每条为 2026 全年累计需求，分实单与预测两部分；红色刻度线为 2025 全年实际——高于红线即计划高于去年。
MTO — we build ahead where demand beats capacity MTO：需求超产能处，我们提前备产
For MTO we hold no MIN/MAX — stock exists only to bridge demand peaks above weekly capacity. Wherever the line touches zero (or goes red), the pre-build window before it is the order deadline. MTO 不设 MIN/MAX，库存仅用于削峰。The dates under each chart are when we must lock each build — and with only 2 weeks of demand frozen today, every one of them is committed on forecast alone, at our risk. Hence ask 04 below: freeze 4 weeks instead of 2. 各图下的周次是我们必须锁定排产的时点——目前只冻结 2 周需求，这些备产全部押在预测上、风险自担。对应下方诉求 04：冻结期 2 周 → 4 周。
Our decisions & how you can help 我们的决策，与请您协助之处
Building stock is our decision and our risk — we will run the 6-day peak from W41/W44 and pre-build per PLAN B at our own cost, as shown above. What helps us most is visibility. 备库存是我们自己的决策与风险——我们将按 PLAN B 自担成本备货（W41/W44 起满产），上文已透明展示。最能帮到我们的，是可见性。
Restore the pre-W23 MIN/MAX levels 恢复 W23 前的 MIN/MAX
The new W23–W39 band (MAX 4,214 / 5,915 / 8,767) sits below today's stock and, strictly executed, forces production halts of 6–8 weeks (PLAN A) — a factory cannot sustain minimum operation that way. The pre-W23 levels (12,396 / 23,855 / 11,749) kept us workable: please restore them.
新的 W23–W39 区间（MAX 4,214/5,915/8,767）低于当前库存，严格执行须停产 6–8 周（见 PLAN A）——工厂无法维持最低运营。W23 前的水平（12,396/23,855/11,749）是可运转的，希望恢复。
Allow MAX to rise from W44 自 W44 起允许提升 MAX
The 2027 W1–W20 peak needs year-end pre-builds of ≈21,000 (500L) / 52,000 (500M) / 16,500 (500S). We carry the build cost and risk — PLAN A shows the alternative loses ~66,000 pcs of 2027 sales.
2027 年 W1–W20 高峰需要年末备至约 21,000 / 52,000 / 16,500。建库存的成本与风险由我们承担——PLAN A 已显示不备的代价约 66,000 件。
Goal colour change — please confirm timing soon 球门换色时间请尽快确认
If the change lands in the off-season — i.e. now — the supply-chain impact is minimal: stocks are at their yearly low and the 2027 pre-build has not started. Once we start building (W41/W44), every week of delay puts more old-colour stock at risk.
若换色落在淡季（也就是最近），对供应链影响最小：目前库存处于全年低位、2027 备货尚未开始。一旦 W41/W44 开始建库存，确认每晚一周，旧色库存的风险就大一分。
Freeze 4 weeks of demand instead of 2 需求冻结期 2 周 → 4 周
Demand spikes arrive with little warning, yet only 2 weeks are frozen today — inside our build lead time, the plan cannot react. A 4-week frozen window lets us schedule against committed demand instead of forecast.
需求时有突增，而目前只冻结 2 周——在备产提前期之内，计划来不及反应。若能锁定 4 周需求，我们就能按确认需求排产，而不是押预测。
Earlier & longer forecast where it matters 预测：新款更早、整体更可靠
ESS 100 and TRA 500 are 2026 launches with no history to simulate — beyond your forecast they are blank. And every MTO build date above is locked on forecast alone: the earlier and more reliable it is, the less risk on both sides.
ESS 100 与 TRA 500 为新款、无历史可模拟，预测结束即空白；上文每个备产锁定点都押在预测上——预测越早越可靠，双方风险越小。